Purdue vs Indiana Predictions, Player Props & Odds

Jan 3, 2024; Lincoln, Nebraska, USA; Indiana Hoosiers center Kel’el Ware (1) high fives teammates on the bench against the Nebraska Cornhuskers during the second half at Pinnacle Bank Arena. Mandatory Credit: Dylan Widger-USA TODAY SportsThe #2 Purdue Boilermakers visit the Indiana Hoosiers on Tuesday at Assembly HallPurdue is a big road favorite at their in-state Big Ten rivalSee the Purdue vs Indiana odds, predictions, and player props for Jan. 16

The #2 Purdue Boilermakers (15-2, 1-2 away, 4-2 Big Ten, 9-6-2 ATS) travel two hours down the road to Bloomington on Tuesday night for a date with the Indiana Hoosiers (12-5, 9-1 home, 4-2 Big Ten, 8-9 ATS) at Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall.

Tip-off is scheduled for 7:00 pm ET and the visiting Boilermakers are huge 9.5-point road favorites over their in-state Big Ten rivals.

Purdue vs Indiana Odds

Tuesday’s college basketball odds also list Purdue as a hyper-short -500 moneyline favorite with Indiana at +375 to improve to 10-1 at home.

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Odds as of Jan. 16 on the bet365 app. Claim a bet365 bonus code before wagering on Purdue vs Indiana. 

The college basketball public-betting splits for Purdue vs Indiana heavily favor the Hoosiers against the spread, but the Boilermakers on the moneyline. IU is getting 95% of ATS handle as 9.5-point underdogs, while 78% of moneyline handle is on Purdue to win straight-up.

Purdue Rebounds from Loss at Nebraska

Purdue had an impressive seven-game win streak – which included Ws over Iowa, Alabama, Arizona, and Illinois – broken at Nebraska on Jan. 9, getting demolished 88-72. But Purdue took out any lingering frustrations on Penn State next time out, opening up a 22-point halftime lead on the Nittanies before cruising to a 95-78 home win. After being held to just 15 points at Nebraska, Zach Edey dropped a ludicrous 30-point, 20-rebound double-double on Penn State. Edey is now the -305 favorite in the Wooden Award odds, looking to become the first back-to-back winner since Ralph Sampson in 1982 and 1983.

With Edey averaging just over 22 points per game, the Boilermakers have the second-most-efficient offense in the country while sitting 22nd on defense. It’s not all Edey, by any stretch of the imagination though. Purdue sits ninth in the entire country in three-point percentage (38.9%). Braden Smith (12.4 PPG), Lance Jones (11.3 PPG), and Fletcher Loyer (11.0 PPG) are all averaging in double-ps, while Smith and Loyer are both hitting at over 40% from three.

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Hoosiers Excellent at Home So Far

Indiana has suffered some ugly losses this season, but the common thread among all of them is that they took place outside of Bloomington. The Hoosiers were routed by 20 by current #1 UConn at MSG in mid-November (77-57), lost by 28 to Auburn in Atlanta (104-76) in early December, and fell by 16 at Nebraska (86-70) two weeks ago. Their only home loss so far was a four-point setback to the 14-2 Kansas Jayhawks (75-71), a game Indiana led by nine at halftime.

The Hoosiers haven’t beaten a team of Purdue’s caliber this season, but they do have home wins over Maryland (68th at KenPom), Michigan (72nd), Ohio State (47th), and Minnesota (92nd).

Growing pains were expected for a team that lost its two leading scorers to the NBA (Trayce Jackson-Davis and Jalen Hood-Schifino). Sophomore forward Malik Reneau has taken big strides in his second season. After averaging just 6.1 PPG in 14.1 minutes as a freshman, he leads the team with 16.3 PPG while shooting 58.2% from the field and 42.9% from three.

Oregon transfer Kel’el Ware (14.8 PPG, 9.6 RPG) gives IU a potent one-two punch in the post and, listed at 7’0 and 242 pounds, is one of the few players in the college game who might not be completely manhandled by the 7’4 Edey down low.

Purdue vs Indiana Player Props

Player props from the DraftKings Sportsbook app. 

At 21.5 O/U, Edey has by far the highest point total in the college basketball player props for Purdue vs Indiana. That said, it’s nearly a full point lower than his season average (22.3 PPG), while his rebound total of 11.5 is significantly higher than his average (10.9 RPG).

Reneau, the Hoosiers’ leading scorer, has a team-high over/under of 14.5, which is nearly two points lower than his average of 16.3 PPG. Scoring in the post is not expected to come easy for

Purdue vs Indiana Prediction

The spread for this game isn’t giving enough credit to Indiana and the Hoosiers excellent home-court advantage. As mentioned, the only game they lost at Assembly Hall this season was a back-and-forth affair with then-#2 Kansas, and they looked to be in control of that one in the first 20 minutes.

Both of Purdue’s losses this season have come in true road games. In addition to the 16-point setback at the Huskers, they also lost at Northwestern in OT (92-88). Their only true road win was a 67-53 win at Maryland.

PUR vs IND Picks:

 Indiana +9.5 (-110) at bet365Indiana race to 20 points (+175) at DraftKings

Sascha Paruk’s 2023-24 NCAAM betting record:

ATS: 13-11 (+0.79 units)Moneyline: 0-1 (-1.00 units)Player props: 1-2 (-1.13 units)

All wagers one unit unless expressly stated otherwise.

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